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Primeira Liga FINISHED
Gil Vicente FC Home
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 19:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-1
Académico de Viseu FC Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed Exact score missed

Confidence

48.7%
Low confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.34-1.23; Elo differential is 56. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 21.7pp; entropy 0.95. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 6 vs 12.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 14:38 UTC

Team form

Gil Vicente FCAcadémico de Viseu FC
Avg goals for1.361.34
Avg goals against1.101.67
BTTS rate43%67%
Games sampled——
Position612

Full market breakdown

1X2

Gil Vicente FC win
48.7%
Draw
24.3%
Académico de Viseu FC win
27.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%

Double Chance

1X (Gil Vicente FC or draw)
73.0%
X2 (draw or Académico de Viseu FC)
51.3%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
93.1%
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Under 4.5
89.2%

Clean Sheet

Gil Vicente FC clean sheet
30.4%
Académico de Viseu FC clean sheet
25.7%

Draw No Bet

Gil Vicente FC win
64.4%
Académico de Viseu FC win
35.6%