CD Nacional
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-4
FC Famalicão
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
37.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.21-1.11; Elo differential is -67. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 4.1pp; entropy 1.00. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 10 vs 14.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC
Team form
| CD Nacional | FC Famalicão | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.22 | 0.95 |
| Avg goals against | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| BTTS rate | 41% | 42% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 10 | 14 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CD Nacional win
37.1%
Draw
29.9%
FC Famalicão win
33.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Double Chance
1X (CD Nacional or draw)
67.0%
X2 (draw or FC Famalicão)
62.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
89.1%
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Over 2.5
40.9%
Under 2.5
59.1%
Over 3.5
20.5%
Under 3.5
79.5%
Under 4.5
91.4%
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional clean sheet
33.0%
FC Famalicão clean sheet
29.8%
Draw No Bet
CD Nacional win
52.9%
FC Famalicão win
47.1%