Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
Sat, 19 Sep 2026 19:30 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 2-2
FC Arouca
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
68.0%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.38-0.98; Elo differential is 253. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 49.4pp; entropy 0.77. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 2 vs 3.
Predicted at 05 Sep 2026, 06:02 UTC
Team form
| Sporting Clube de Portugal | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.60 | 1.66 |
| Avg goals against | 1.04 | 1.20 |
| BTTS rate | 63% | 47% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 2 | 3 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Sporting Clube de Portugal win
68.0%
Draw
18.6%
FC Arouca win
13.3%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Double Chance
1X (Sporting Clube de Portugal or draw)
86.7%
X2 (draw or FC Arouca)
32.0%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.9%
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Over 2.5
65.3%
Under 2.5
34.7%
Over 3.5
43.4%
Under 3.5
56.6%
Under 4.5
75.1%
Clean Sheet
Sporting Clube de Portugal clean sheet
37.4%
FC Arouca clean sheet
9.3%
Draw No Bet
Sporting Clube de Portugal win
83.6%
FC Arouca win
16.4%