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Primeira Liga FINISHED
CS Marítimo Home
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 17:00 (UTC+0)
0-2
Final score: 1-2
FC Porto Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

67.9%
Very High confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: AWAY. Hierarchical model xG 0.85-2.24; Elo differential is -186. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 49.0pp; entropy 0.77. Selective pick: ELITE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 1.

Predicted at 26 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC

Team form

CS MarítimoFC Porto
Avg goals for1.112.09
Avg goals against1.780.72
BTTS rate73%45%
Games sampled——
Position111

Full market breakdown

1X2

CS Marítimo win
13.2%
Draw
18.9%
FC Porto win
67.9%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
51.9%
No
48.1%

Double Chance

1X (CS Marítimo or draw)
32.1%
X2 (draw or FC Porto)
86.8%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
94.8%
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Over 2.5
59.7%
Under 2.5
40.3%
Over 3.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
62.6%
Under 4.5
79.9%

Clean Sheet

CS Marítimo clean sheet
10.6%
FC Porto clean sheet
42.7%

Draw No Bet

CS Marítimo win
16.3%
FC Porto win
83.7%