FC Famalicão
Home
Mon, 12 Oct 2026 19:15 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 1-4
FC Alverca
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
52.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.58-0.93; Elo differential is 126. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 26.5pp; entropy 0.93. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 13 vs 10.
Predicted at 28 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| FC Famalicão | FC Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Avg goals against | 0.95 | 1.44 |
| BTTS rate | 49% | 66% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 13 | 10 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
FC Famalicão win
52.3%
Draw
25.8%
FC Alverca win
21.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49.1%
No
50.9%
Double Chance
1X (FC Famalicão or draw)
78.1%
X2 (draw or FC Alverca)
47.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
90.9%
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Over 2.5
45.9%
Under 2.5
54.1%
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Under 4.5
88.9%
Clean Sheet
FC Famalicão clean sheet
39.3%
FC Alverca clean sheet
20.6%
Draw No Bet
FC Famalicão win
70.5%
FC Alverca win
29.5%