CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:30 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 0-2
Casa Pia AC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
50.9%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.58-0.97; Elo differential is 91. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 25.2pp; entropy 0.94. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 9 vs 17.
Predicted at 11 Oct 2026, 18:36 UTC
Team form
| CF Estrela da Amadora | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.58 | 0.54 |
| Avg goals against | 1.87 | 1.76 |
| BTTS rate | 68% | 35% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 9 | 17 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
CF Estrela da Amadora win
50.9%
Draw
25.7%
Casa Pia AC win
23.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
Double Chance
1X (CF Estrela da Amadora or draw)
76.6%
X2 (draw or Casa Pia AC)
49.1%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.5%
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Over 2.5
46.9%
Under 2.5
53.1%
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Under 4.5
88.4%
Clean Sheet
CF Estrela da Amadora clean sheet
37.9%
Casa Pia AC clean sheet
20.6%
Draw No Bet
CF Estrela da Amadora win
68.5%
Casa Pia AC win
31.5%