← Back to predictions
UEFA Champions League FINISHED
FC Barcelona Home
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 16:45 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 5-1
Feyenoord Rotterdam Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

62.1%
High confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 3.38-1.35; Elo differential is 171. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 42.1pp; entropy 0.84. Selective pick: STRONG.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 22:46 UTC

Team form

FC BarcelonaFeyenoord Rotterdam
Avg goals for2.492.11
Avg goals against0.751.30
BTTS rate44%68%
Games sampled——

Full market breakdown

1X2

FC Barcelona win
62.1%
Draw
17.8%
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
20.0%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
70.2%
No
29.8%

Double Chance

1X (FC Barcelona or draw)
80.0%
X2 (draw or Feyenoord Rotterdam)
37.9%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
99.0%
Over 1.5
94.5%
Under 1.5
5.5%
Over 2.5
84.2%
Under 2.5
15.8%
Over 3.5
67.9%
Under 3.5
32.1%
Under 4.5
49.4%

Clean Sheet

FC Barcelona clean sheet
27.1%
Feyenoord Rotterdam clean sheet
3.7%

Draw No Bet

FC Barcelona win
75.6%
Feyenoord Rotterdam win
24.4%