Liverpool FC
Home
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-1
Club Atlético de Madrid
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
✓ Exact score matched
Confidence
52.1%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.75-1.17; Elo differential is 61. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 73%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 26.3pp; entropy 0.93. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE.
Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 22:46 UTC
Team form
| Liverpool FC | Club Atlético de Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.76 | 1.68 |
| Avg goals against | 1.41 | 1.47 |
| BTTS rate | 67% | 59% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Liverpool FC win
52.1%
Draw
22.0%
Club Atlético de Madrid win
25.9%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Double Chance
1X (Liverpool FC or draw)
74.1%
X2 (draw or Club Atlético de Madrid)
47.9%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.4%
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Under 4.5
83.6%
Clean Sheet
Liverpool FC clean sheet
31.7%
Club Atlético de Madrid clean sheet
17.9%
Draw No Bet
Liverpool FC win
66.8%
Club Atlético de Madrid win
33.2%