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UEFA Champions League FINISHED
Sporting Clube de Portugal Home
Wed, 09 Sep 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-0
Final score: 3-1
Galatasaray SK Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct Exact score missed

Confidence

75.6%
Very High confidence

Why this prediction

Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 2.05-0.93; Elo differential is 247. Exact-score engine: hierarchical_dixon_coles_mle + residual_score_ml (blend=0.10). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.50; outcome margin 61.1pp; entropy 0.66. Selective pick: ELITE.

Predicted at 30 Aug 2026, 22:46 UTC

Team form

Sporting Clube de PortugalGalatasaray SK
Avg goals for2.601.40
Avg goals against1.041.81
BTTS rate63%41%
Games sampled——

Full market breakdown

1X2

Sporting Clube de Portugal win
75.6%
Draw
14.5%
Galatasaray SK win
9.9%

Both Teams to Score

Yes
52.5%
No
47.5%

Double Chance

1X (Sporting Clube de Portugal or draw)
90.1%
X2 (draw or Galatasaray SK)
24.4%

Total Goals

Over 0.5
95.5%
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Under 4.5
79.6%

Clean Sheet

Sporting Clube de Portugal clean sheet
40.0%
Galatasaray SK clean sheet
12.0%

Draw No Bet

Sporting Clube de Portugal win
88.4%
Galatasaray SK win
11.6%