AS Roma
Home
Wed, 14 Oct 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 3-4
Real Madrid CF
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
44.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.75-1.36; Elo differential is 9. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 45%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 14.7pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 20 vs 13.
Predicted at 30 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| AS Roma | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.23 | 2.22 |
| Avg goals against | 0.82 | 1.16 |
| BTTS rate | 47% | 70% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 20 | 13 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
AS Roma win
44.7%
Draw
25.4%
Real Madrid CF win
30.0%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Double Chance
1X (AS Roma or draw)
70.0%
X2 (draw or Real Madrid CF)
55.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
94.7%
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Over 2.5
60.0%
Under 2.5
40.0%
Over 3.5
37.7%
Under 3.5
62.3%
Under 4.5
79.7%
Clean Sheet
AS Roma clean sheet
25.7%
Real Madrid CF clean sheet
17.4%
Draw No Bet
AS Roma win
59.8%
Real Madrid CF win
40.2%