Manchester City FC
Home
Wed, 14 Oct 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
2-1
Final score: 2-4
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Away
✗ Outcome prediction missed
Exact score missed
Confidence
43.7%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.81-1.53; Elo differential is 42. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 38%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 11.5pp; entropy 0.97. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 8 vs 1.
Predicted at 30 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Manchester City FC | Paris Saint-Germain FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 2.13 | 2.44 |
| Avg goals against | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| BTTS rate | 52% | 68% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 8 | 1 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Manchester City FC win
43.7%
Draw
24.2%
Paris Saint-Germain FC win
32.1%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66.4%
No
33.6%
Double Chance
1X (Manchester City FC or draw)
67.9%
X2 (draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC)
56.3%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
95.7%
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Over 2.5
64.9%
Under 2.5
35.1%
Over 3.5
42.9%
Under 3.5
57.1%
Under 4.5
75.5%
Clean Sheet
Manchester City FC clean sheet
21.6%
Paris Saint-Germain FC clean sheet
16.3%
Draw No Bet
Manchester City FC win
57.6%
Paris Saint-Germain FC win
42.4%