Aston Villa FC
Home
Wed, 14 Oct 2026 19:00 (UTC+0)
1-0
Final score: 6-0
Fenerbahçe SK
Away
✓ Outcome prediction was correct
Exact score missed
Confidence
48.3%
Why this prediction
Ensemble prediction: HOME. Hierarchical model xG 1.48-1.05; Elo differential is 146. Exact-score engine: legacy_poisson_fallback + residual_score_ml (blend=0.00). Free xG coverage: 0%. xG specialist weight: 0.00; outcome margin 21.9pp; entropy 0.96. Selective pick: PASS/LOW EDGE. Reconstructed pre-match table position: 11 vs 19.
Predicted at 30 Sep 2026, 02:03 UTC
Team form
| Aston Villa FC | Fenerbahçe SK | |
|---|---|---|
| Avg goals for | 1.41 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals against | 1.68 | 1.00 |
| BTTS rate | 61% | 100% |
| Games sampled | — | — |
| Position | 11 | 19 |
Full market breakdown
1X2
Aston Villa FC win
48.3%
Draw
26.3%
Fenerbahçe SK win
25.4%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Double Chance
1X (Aston Villa FC or draw)
74.6%
X2 (draw or Fenerbahçe SK)
51.7%
Total Goals
Over 0.5
91.0%
Over 1.5
72.8%
Under 1.5
27.2%
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Under 4.5
88.8%
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC clean sheet
35.1%
Fenerbahçe SK clean sheet
22.7%
Draw No Bet
Aston Villa FC win
65.5%
Fenerbahçe SK win
34.5%