Track record
Model accuracy statistics
Recalculated live from every graded match — nothing curated after the fact.
101
Matches analyzed
57.7%
Home win accuracy
100%
Draw accuracy
55.2%
Away win accuracy
77.8%
1X hit rate
76.7%
X2 hit rate
21.8%
Exact score
63.6%
BTTS Yes accuracy
Every market we predict — 14 Days
| Market | Predicted | Correct | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win Outright (1) | 71 | 41 | 57.7% |
| Match Draw Balance (X) | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| Away Win Outright (2) | 29 | 16 | 55.2% |
| Double Chance 1X Matrix | 72 | 56 | 77.8% |
| Double Chance X2 Matrix | 30 | 23 | 76.7% |
| Both Teams to Score — Yes | 55 | 35 | 63.6% |
| Both Teams to Score — No | 46 | 31 | 67.4% |
| Total Goals — Over 0.5 | 101 | 95 | 94.1% |
| Total Goals — Over 1.5 | 101 | 79 | 78.2% |
| Total Goals — Over 2.5 | 47 | 35 | 74.5% |
| Total Goals — Under 2.5 | 54 | 33 | 61.1% |
| Total Goals — Over 3.5 | 5 | 5 | 100.0% |
| Total Goals — Under 3.5 | 96 | 64 | 66.7% |
| Total Goals — Under 4.5 | 100 | 82 | 82.0% |
| Home Clean Sheet — Yes | 3 | 3 | 100.0% |
| Home Clean Sheet — No | 98 | 70 | 71.4% |
| Away Clean Sheet — Yes | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
| Away Clean Sheet — No | 99 | 75 | 75.8% |
| Exact Scoreline Match | 101 | 22 | 21.8% |
"Predicted" = number of graded matches where the model specifically called that outcome (≥50% probability) — not every match it had an opinion on. Rows with few predictions are more prone to swingy percentages, so check the count alongside the win rate.
Per-league accuracy — 14 Days
Which competitions the model calls best, at a glance. Outcome accuracy = correct 1X2 calls ÷ matches analyzed.
| League | Analyzed | Outcome accuracy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 3 | — | 100.0% |
| Serie A | 13 | — | 84.6% |
| Ligue 1 | 11 | — | 72.7% |
| Primeira Liga | 11 | — | 72.7% |
| Premier League | 15 | — | 66.7% |
| Eredivisie | 4 | — | 50.0% |
| Primera Division | 13 | — | 46.2% |
| Serie A (Brazil) | 5 | — | 40.0% |
| Campeonato Brasileiro Série A | 11 | — | 36.4% |
| La Liga | 3 | — | 33.3% |
| Championship | 12 | — | 25.0% |
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